Rescue plan for 2018

Posted by BankInfo on Sun, Jun 11 2017 11:20 am

For a consolidated state bank

While we learned not to put all eggs in one basket, dumping all rotten apples in one basket might seem rather prudent. When two companies of a similar business nature, languish to survive, they opt for a merger that gives additional synergy to help the merged entity run better than before. The same is true for our six state-owned commercial banks (SOCBs): Sonali, Agrani, Janata, Rupali, Bangladesh Development, and Basic. They are all now bad apples and should be put aside together so they do not ruin the whole banking industry by polluting the other forty private commercial banks (PCBs). Forming a consolidated state bank, bringing together all six public banks, seems to be the most appropriate rescue plan not only for the state-owned banks but also for the beleaguered banking industry that seems destined to a progressive collapse in three years or so.

Every bank has to maintain a minimum amount of capital, which is at least 10 percent of its risk-weighted assets, called the capital to the risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR). Taking deposits goes to the liability side of the balance sheet of a bank while giving a loan becomes an asset. The bank has to keep Tk 10 as capital if it extends a loan of Tk 100 to a borrower named A assuming that A is a normal person in a safe business. But the bank has to keep capital of Tk 15 if it lends Tk 100 to a risky person named B once the bank has assessed the risk-weighted asset as Tk 150. Now the total capital of Tk 25 is stored against a total loan of Tk 200 whose risk-weighted value is Tk 250.

The CRAR in six public banks have fallen to as low as below six percent while it is above twelve percent in private banks and almost twenty-four percent in foreign banks. The ratio in two state-owned specialised banks: Bangladesh Krishi Bank (BKB) and Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan Bank (RAKUB) is astonishingly minus thirty-five percent. After 2009, the government has taken almost Tk 10,000 crore taka to refuel the capital of these state-owned banks. Despite all ethical oppositions, the budget has allocated another Tk 2,000 crore for repeating the same practice, an attempt to pour water into a leaky bucket while other national priorities are being starved.

That is not the solution because the leak, which is seemingly created due to mismanagement, corruption, and willful default, is turning into a bigger hole every year. Not only is this short-term measure of recapitalisation with taxpayers' money unfair, but it also signals that we are bankrupt in finding a long-term solution. And hence, the rescue plan of 2018 would be the best alternative that bundles all bad tenants into a single house so control becomes easier and transparent through one set of financial statements.

In the 1980s, the quickest advice to fix a losing state-owned bank was to make it private. But that easy fix would be a blunder right now. Some experts are suggesting the privatisation of all state owned banks - except for Sonali Bank, the largest state-owned commercial bank that also supports the central bank in treasury management. Despite having good intentions, these experts are ignoring some vital points such as employment, rural development, funding the poor, and extending credit to socially desirable projects – which private banks shy away from due to their excessive profit-maximisation appetite. State owned banks still serve a bunch of welfare and pro-poor operations which we badly need to mitigate ever-increasing income inequality and discrimination.

Six state owned banks employ almost 60,000 people while forty private banks have employed around 92,000 people. Although the number of employment is lower in state owned banks, it is much higher proportionately based on the share of deposit. State-owned banks keep fifty-five percent of their total 3,700 branches in rural areas whereas private banks keep only one-third of their total 4,300 branches in rural areas. State-owned banks have more than 2,000 rural branches whereas private banks have around one and a half thousand branches in these areas. Total deposit accounts in state owned banks are close to three crores – slightly less than that in all forty private banks. Still state-owned banks have more loan accounts (Tk 32 lakhs) than private banks (Tk 28 lakhs). Thus, comparing private banks with state-owned ones is inappropriate.

The proposal of a consolidated state bank takes these aspects into consideration. It recommends retaining all state-bank networks as opposed to breaking the network into profit-greedy pieces. A recent study finds that private banks avoid hiring new workers since the profit motive reigns supreme in their work ethics. In contrast, public banks though inefficient, try to maximise hiring – a much needed action for a hugely labour surplus economy like Bangladesh. Hence, the first thing the society will face if a public bank is converted into a private one is a further rise in unemployment. Theoretically, the higher the capitalist margin, the higher the level of unemployment. Recently, we saw that private banks made a profit growth of more than 17 percent – not commensurate with the growth of their hiring process, which has been negligible of late.

Combining the SOCBs will bring a transformative change in the banking industry, provided that the court decisions on classified and written-off loans are expedited and the government has sufficient political will to pressurise the habitual defaulters. Otherwise, the whole banking industry will head toward a doomsday scenario, and this will be more so for public banks. The largest state bank is Sonali Bank, whose total deposit collection is almost Tk 1 lakh crore, but it is trying to survive on around Tk 20 to 30 thousand crore while almost Tk 20,000 crore has gone down the drain. How can a bank leverage that much liability with a much smaller amount?

The government should think ahead to rescue this industry if we really do not want another stock-market type collapse of the state banks. Proper homework to put all the bad apples together must be initiated so that we can generate investment vibrancy in the economy from 2018.

news:daily star/11-jun-2017

Banking and mobile financial services are siblings

Posted by BankInfo on Sun, Jun 11 2017 10:35 am

                                                              Muhammad A (Rumee) Ali

There have been newspaper reports that banks are seeking to create separate companies to provide mobile financial services (MFS) to emulate the leading player, bKash. This is a vindication of what we conceptualised as the most suitable structure for bKash. I congratulate Bangladesh Bank (BB) for guiding the extraordinary growth of MFS since 2011, now serving over 45 million registered customers. The 45 million accounts represent about twice the number of regular bank accounts. Moreover, MFS-users have been largely ignored by regular banks and their inclusion will help Bangladesh reach the Sustainable Development Goals with vastly improved inclusivity. Increasingly, policymakers and banks are recognising the need to utilise services like bKash to channel foreign remittance to the end recipient instantly at a low cost or distribute safety net payment directly to the beneficiaries, thereby increasing the efficiency of the national economy.

I have been keenly watching the growth of MFS since its inception, having been the founding chairman of bKash for five years. After a career of over four decades in banking, as an executive, a board member and a regulator and given this extraordinary significance of MFS, I felt, it may be useful to articulate my thoughts and provide some personal insights into this issue.

Although many banks received MFS licences, only bKash was set up separately. This indeed confirms the usefulness of separating the operations from banks. However, this is not the only reason for the bKash success. It is high time for all stakeholders—particularly for BB—to review the MFS ecosystem and determine the next level of regulation. While BB's 2011 guidelines have been critically important for MFS success, it was far from clear how big MFS would be back in 2011. MFS was left to evolve inside the bank structure or be supervised as subsidiaries by scheduled banks. This was done more as an initial measure to facilitate the birth of a new financial practice. Now it is abundantly clear that this is a whole new industry, not necessarily consistent with the mindset and skill sets of traditional bankers. Bankers are set to serve relatively better-off clients or corporations, not those who fall in the category of 'the bottom of the pyramid' (or the low income/rural segment), the kind of customers that operations like bKash serve.

Thus asking regular banks to supervise MFS is like asking regular banks to supervise microfinance institutions, something that would have been very counterproductive. The existing convoluted and indirect supervision system is impeding growth and creating governance problems and, above all, diluting supervision of a very important segment as described in my introductory paragraph. BB must now supervise these MFS providers directly in order to assure the regulatory comfort to banks, the agencies and the end customers. This should be prioritised as an immediate imperative.

Another matter has changed since 2011. Bank-ownership was probably required to address legal and public trust issues back then. Now MFS is evolved and matured and enjoying public confidence. It is now clear that MFS requires not much bank ownership but international expertise and investments. One reason bKash has been successful is the partnership between US-based Money in Motion LLC (MIM) and Brac Bank. While Brac Bank provided the all-important 'trust' essential for any new financial institution, MIM brought knowledge of mobile money.

MIM was inducted in the board of bKash since its inception. It was also one of the founders of Kenya-based M-Pesa. Deep knowledge of mobile money is necessary since this technology is used as an enabler for delivery of the product. Today digital payment technologies are developing very rapidly, something that international players (such MasterCard, PayPal, Square, etc.) can bring. Thus BB must also consider regulations that are conducive to attracting foreign investment and expertise, and it must also keep in mind that ownership should be given to citizens as soon as practicable by encouraging listing of MFS entities in the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

At the same time, BB needs to maintain its position vis-à-vis mobile network operators (MNOs) who provide the essential highways on which MFS grows, much like the electricity grid supports the MNOs themselves. Since MNOs control this vital element, they may have an unfair advantage, preventing them from being fair competitors. MNOs should be limited to network provision, as BB has done. MNO ownership of MFS creates regulatory conflicts as well, and that too should be avoided. BB has discussed this extensively over the last three years and announced through a public notice that MNOs operating in Bangladesh should not be owners of MFS. MNOs must, however, be adequately and equitably compensated for the use of their networks.

There is something to be learned from our MNO experience. MNOs demonstrate what would attract foreign expertise and investment. The government has rightly promoted competition among MNOs while not imposing restriction on foreign investment and ownership, leading to excellent MNO services nationwide. The top three MNOs in the country—Grameenphone, Robi, and Banglalink—have brought expertise and investments into the country. Being involved as a banker at the time when these MNOs started, I personally saw that investors with expertise did not feel comfortable with ownership control in the hands without expertise. In the end, the citizens enjoyed a better service, expansion of commerce and the country benefitted from a growing government revenue base.

While a banking base for an MFS enterprise initially provided public trust, now that public trust exists with MFS itself. With direct supervision by BB and an independent capital base, the need for majority ownership by a bank should no longer be required. A minority ownership by a bank is sufficient. The 2011 BB guidelines left MFS players as bank-subsidiaries, meaning a 51 percent ownership by banks. That was only an initial arrangement. A mechanical requirement of 51 percent ownership by any entity hinders the introduction of foreign owners who can bring much-needed investment and expertise. It encourages ownership to be manipulated through creative structures involving non-voting shares, options, and side letters, not to mention being a roadblock to listing MFS enterprises on the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

MFS is largely a payment business supporting transactions; the capital adequacy requirements for scheduled banks are also not necessary. Moreover, MFS performance parameters are different than those for banks generally expressed in terms of financial ratios. It is high time to drop the 51 percent bank ownership requirement.

The real secret of MFS success lies in the right expertise and adequate investment. BB needs to facilitate and enable this through an effective regulatory framework and direct supervision, removing artificial requirements that hinder growth. Banks and MFS should clearly be siblings as opposed to a parent-offspring relationship. As siblings, with a lot of common things in the DNA, banks and MFS players can contribute to each others' growth in positive ways. It is time MFS players stop hiding behind “mother banks” and come out of the shadows and present themselves for service to community.

news:daily star/11-jun-2017

 

 

M Nazeem A Choudhury, Head of Consumer Banking of Eastern Bank Limited (EBL) and Nasreen Fatema Awal, President of Women Entrepreneurs Association of Bangladesh (WEAB) exchanging an agreement signing documents at the bank head office in the city recently.

Posted by BankInfo on Sun, Jun 11 2017 09:47 am

M Nazeem A Choudhury, Head of Consumer Banking of Eastern Bank Limited (EBL) and Nasreen Fatema Awal, President of Women Entrepreneurs Association of Bangladesh (WEAB) exchanging an agreement signing documents at the bank head office in the city recently.

news:new nation/11-jun-2017

Ahmed Kamal Khan Chowdhury, Managing Director of Prime Bank Ltd, presiding over a discussion session on "Ramzan-Doinondin Jibonay Islam" on Thursday at a city convention center. Maulana Shah Mohammad Wali Ullah, Member of Shariah Supervisory Committee, Sh

Posted by BankInfo on Sun, Jun 11 2017 09:38 am

Ahmed Kamal Khan Chowdhury, Managing Director of Prime Bank Ltd, presiding over a discussion session on \"Ramzan-Doinondin Jibonay Islam\" on Thursday at a city convention center. Maulana Shah Mohammad Wali Ullah, Member of Shariah Supervisory Committee,

news:new nation/11-jun-2017

Selim RF Hussain, Managing Director of BRAC Bank Ltd. handing over a cheque to Dhaka University Vice Chancellor Prof. Dr. AAMS Arefin Siddique at his office recently. The bank provided the scholarships to the meritorious students of Business Studies Facul

Posted by BankInfo on Sun, Jun 11 2017 09:29 am

Selim RF Hussain, Managing Director of BRAC Bank Ltd. handing over a cheque to Dhaka University Vice Chancellor Prof. Dr. AAMS Arefin Siddique at his office recently. The bank provided the scholarships to the meritorious students of Business Studies Facul

news:new nation/11-jun-2017
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